% of total |
1982 | 1984 | 1986 | 1988 | 1990 | 1992 | 1994 | 1996 | 1998 | 2000 | 2002 | 2004 | 2006 | 2008 | 2010 | ||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Group | D | R | D | R | D | R | D | R | D | R | D | R | D | R | D | R | D | R | D | R | D | R | D | R | D | R | D | R | D | R | |
Total vote for House | 57 | 43 | 51 | 49 | 52 | 48 | 54 | 46 | 52 | 48 | 54 | 46 | 47 | 53 | 50 | 50 | 49 | 51 | 50 | 50 | 47 | 53 | 50 | 50 | 54 | 46 | 55 | 45 | 46 | 54 | |
47 | Men | 55 | 45 | 48 | 52 | 51 | 49 | 52 | 48 | 51 | 49 | 52 | 48 | 42 | 58 | 46 | 54 | 46 | 54 | 45 | 55 | 44 | 56 | 46 | 54 | 52 | 48 | 53 | 47 | 43 | 57 |
53 | Women | 58 | 42 | 54 | 46 | 54 | 46 | 57 | 43 | 54 | 46 | 55 | 45 | 53 | 47 | 55 | 45 | 53 | 47 | 54 | 46 | 50 | 50 | 53 | 47 | 56 | 44 | 57 | 43 | 49 | 51 |
78 | White | 54 | 46 | 46 | 54 | 49 | 51 | 50 | 50 | 50 | 50 | 50 | 50 | 42 | 58 | 45 | 55 | 43 | 57 | 44 | 56 | 40 | 60 | 42 | 58 | 48 | 52 | 46 | 54 | 38 | 62 |
10 | Black | 89 | 11 | 92 | 8 | 86 | 14 | 85 | 15 | 79 | 21 | 89 | 11 | 92 | 8 | 82 | 18 | 89 | 11 | 89 | 11 | 91 | 9 | 90 | 10 | 89 | 11 | 94 | 6 | 91 | 9 |
8 | Hispanic | 75 | 25 | 69 | 31 | 75 | 25 | 76 | 24 | 72 | 28 | 72 | 28 | 61 | 39 | 73 | 27 | 63 | 37 | 65 | 35 | 62 | 38 | 56 | 44 | 74 | 26 | 70 | 30 | 66 | 34 |
1 | Asian | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 63 | 37 | 49 | 51 | 54 | 46 | 43 | 57 | 56 | 44 | 59 | 41 | 66 | 34 | 57 | 43 | 63 | 37 | 67 | 33 | 59 | 41 |
11 | 18-29 years old | 59 | 41 | 51 | 49 | 51 | 49 | 54 | 46 | 52 | 48 | 55 | 45 | 49 | 51 | 55 | 45 | 50 | 50 | 51 | 49 | 51 | 49 | 56 | 44 | 61 | 39 | 65 | 35 | 58 | 42 |
22 | 30-44 years old | 54 | 46 | 54 | 46 | 52 | 48 | 54 | 46 | 53 | 47 | 53 | 47 | 46 | 54 | 50 | 50 | 50 | 50 | 49 | 51 | 45 | 55 | 48 | 52 | 54 | 46 | 55 | 45 | 48 | 52 |
33 | 45-59 years old | 56 | 44 | 50 | 50 | 54 | 46 | 54 | 46 | 51 | 49 | 52 | 48 | 47 | 53 | 50 | 50 | 52 | 48 | 50 | 50 | 47 | 53 | 50 | 50 | 54 | 46 | 52 | 48 | 46 | 54 |
34 | 60 and older | 58 | 42 | 48 | 52 | 52 | 48 | 55 | 45 | 53 | 47 | 56 | 44 | 49 | 51 | 49 | 51 | 45 | 55 | 52 | 48 | 49 | 51 | 46 | 54 | 52 | 48 | 52 | 48 | 42 | 58 |
3 | Gay, lesbian, bisexual | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 78 | 22 | 77 | 23 | 74 | 26 | 73 | 27 | 67 | 33 | 68 | 32 | — | — | 76 | 24 | 75 | 25 | 81 | 19 | 69 | 31 |
3 | Not a high school graduate | — | — | 60 | 40 | 57 | 43 | 63 | 37 | 60 | 40 | 67 | 33 | 58 | 42 | 65 | 35 | 58 | 42 | 58 | 42 | 63 | 37 | 50 | 50 | 64 | 36 | 69 | 31 | 61 | 39 |
19 | High school graduate | — | — | 51 | 49 | 55 | 45 | 57 | 43 | 56 | 44 | 58 | 42 | 47 | 53 | 55 | 45 | 51 | 49 | 50 | 50 | 52 | 48 | 50 | 50 | 56 | 44 | 56 | 44 | 46 | 54 |
30 | Some college | — | — | 49 | 51 | 50 | 50 | 53 | 47 | 52 | 48 | 53 | 47 | 41 | 59 | 50 | 50 | 47 | 53 | 48 | 52 | 47 | 53 | 48 | 52 | 52 | 48 | 54 | 46 | 44 | 56 |
28 | College graduate | — | — | 50 | 50 | 46 | 54 | 47 | 53 | 50 | 50 | 46 | 54 | 45 | 55 | 43 | 57 | 45 | 55 | 46 | 54 | 42 | 58 | 47 | 53 | 50 | 50 | 51 | 49 | 42 | 58 |
20 | Post graduate education | — | — | — | — | 56 | 44 | 54 | 46 | 53 | 47 | 55 | 45 | 57 | 43 | 51 | 49 | 54 | 46 | 54 | 46 | 47 | 53 | 53 | 47 | 59 | 41 | 57 | 43 | 52 | 48 |
21 | From the East | 65 | 35 | 54 | 46 | 52 | 48 | 54 | 46 | 54 | 46 | 55 | 45 | 50 | 50 | 56 | 44 | 56 | 44 | 59 | 41 | 53 | 47 | 59 | 41 | 64 | 36 | 62 | 38 | 54 | 46 |
25 | From the Midwest | 49 | 51 | 50 | 50 | 53 | 47 | 55 | 45 | 49 | 51 | 52 | 48 | 45 | 55 | 51 | 49 | 47 | 53 | 49 | 51 | 47 | 53 | 49 | 51 | 53 | 47 | 54 | 46 | 45 | 55 |
31 | From the South | 59 | 41 | 52 | 48 | 56 | 44 | 54 | 46 | 54 | 46 | 53 | 47 | 47 | 53 | 45 | 55 | 45 | 55 | 45 | 55 | 42 | 58 | 44 | 56 | 46 | 54 | 49 | 51 | 39 | 61 |
23 | From the West | 53 | 47 | 48 | 52 | 51 | 49 | 53 | 47 | 54 | 46 | 56 | 44 | 47 | 53 | 51 | 49 | 50 | 50 | 50 | 50 | 50 | 50 | 49 | 51 | 56 | 44 | 60 | 40 | 51 | 49 |
% of total |
1982 | 1984 | 1986 | 1988 | 1990 | 1992 | 1994 | 1996 | 1998 | 2000 | 2002 | 2004 | 2006 | 2008 | 2010 | ||||||||||||||||
Group | D | R | D | R | D | R | D | R | D | R | D | R | D | R | D | R | D | R | D | R | D | R | D | R | D | R | D | R | D | R | |
54 | Protestant | 46 | 54 | 44 | 56 | 48 | 52 | 50 | 50 | 48 | 52 | 47 | 53 | 42 | 58 | 43 | 57 | 42 | 58 | 43 | 57 | 38 | 62 | 43 | 57 | 45 | 55 | 46 | 54 | 39 | 61 |
44 | White Protestant | 43 | 57 | 38 | 62 | 43 | 57 | 44 | 56 | 45 | 55 | 43 | 57 | 34 | 66 | 38 | 62 | 35 | 65 | 36 | 64 | 30 | 70 | 33 | 63 | 38 | 62 | 35 | 65 | 29 | 71 |
25 | Catholic | 63 | 37 | 58 | 42 | 55 | 45 | 55 | 45 | 54 | 46 | 57 | 43 | 47 | 53 | 54 | 46 | 53 | 47 | 51 | 49 | 55 | 45 | 49 | 51 | 56 | 44 | 57 | 43 | 45 | 55 |
2 | Jewish | 82 | 18 | 70 | 30 | 70 | 30 | 68 | 32 | 73 | 27 | 79 | 21 | 77 | 23 | 74 | 26 | 79 | 21 | 76 | 24 | 64 | 36 | 78 | 22 | 88 | 12 | 82 | 18 | * | * |
25 | White born-again or evangelical Christian | 50 | 50 | 32 | 68 | 31 | 69 | 34 | 66 | * | * | 34 | 66 | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | 25 | 75 | 29 | 71 | 29 | 71 | 21 | 79 |
18 | Family income is less than $30,000 | 61 | 39 | 55 | 45 | 58 | 42 | 56 | 44 | 58 | 42 | 60 | 40 | 62 | 38 | 65 | 35 | 68 | 32 | 57 | 43 | ||||||||||
19 | $30,000 to $49,999 | 52 | 48 | 49 | 51 | 53 | 47 | 53 | 47 | 52 | 48 | 52 | 48 | 45 | 55 | 50 | 50 | 49 | 51 | 51 | 49 | 50 | 50 | 52 | 48 | 57 | 43 | 59 | 41 | 52 | 48 |
63 | Over $50,000 | 37 | 63 | 39 | 61 | 47 | 53 | 45 | 55 | 49 | 51 | 47 | 53 | 42 | 58 | 44 | 56 | 46 | 54 | 46 | 54 | 41 | 59 | 44 | 56 | 50 | 50 | 51 | 49 | 47 | 53 |
26 | Over $100,000 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 39 | 61 | 43 | 57 | — | — | 36 | 64 | 37 | 63 | 45 | 55 | 44 | 56 | 36 | 64 | 42 | 58 | 48 | 52 | 49 | 51 | 43 | 57 |
14 | Financial situation is getting better | 34 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 51 | 49 | 34 | 66 | 60 | 40 | 65 | 35 | 59 | 41 | 59 | 41 | 34 | 66 | 23 | 77 | 28 | 72 | 38 | 62 | 60 | 40 |
41 | Getting worse | 78 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 54 | 46 | 72 | 28 | 36 | 64 | 33 | 67 | 41 | 59 | 35 | 65 | 61 | 39 | 79 | 21 | 80 | 20 | 72 | 28 | 35 | 65 |
43 | Staying the same | 54 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 54 | 46 | 50 | 50 | 46 | 54 | 47 | 53 | 43 | 57 | 40 | 60 | 47 | 53 | 50 | 50 | 57 | 43 | 48 | 52 | 52 | 48 |
36 | Republicans | 12 | 88 | 14 | 86 | 20 | 80 | 21 | 79 | 23 | 77 | 15 | 85 | 8 | 92 | 10 | 90 | 9 | 91 | 8 | 92 | 6 | 94 | 7 | 93 | 8 | 92 | 9 | 91 | 4 | 96 |
27 | Independents | 51 | 49 | 49 | 51 | 52 | 48 | 54 | 46 | 52 | 48 | 54 | 46 | 43 | 57 | 49 | 51 | 48 | 52 | 49 | 51 | 49 | 51 | 52 | 48 | 59 | 41 | 54 | 46 | 41 | 59 |
36 | Democrats | 90 | 10 | 85 | 15 | 81 | 19 | 83 | 17 | 79 | 21 | 89 | 11 | 89 | 11 | 86 | 14 | 89 | 11 | 89 | 12 | 90 | 10 | 91 | 9 | 93 | 7 | 93 | 7 | 93 | 7 |
20 | Liberals | 80 | 20 | 76 | 24 | 71 | 29 | 80 | 20 | 73 | 27 | 81 | 19 | 81 | 19 | 82 | 18 | 84 | 16 | 84 | 16 | 81 | 19 | 80 | 14 | 89 | 11 | 89 | 11 | 92 | 8 |
38 | Moderates | 60 | 40 | 57 | 43 | 58 | 42 | 57 | 43 | 56 | 44 | 57 | 43 | 57 | 43 | 57 | 43 | 55 | 45 | 54 | 46 | 54 | 46 | 53 | 41 | 61 | 39 | 62 | 38 | 57 | 43 |
42 | Conservatives | 35 | 65 | 31 | 69 | 35 | 65 | 34 | 66 | 37 | 63 | 28 | 72 | 19 | 81 | 21 | 79 | 18 | 82 | 19 | 81 | 19 | 81 | 17 | 79 | 20 | 80 | 23 | 77 | 14 | 86 |
17 | Union household | 68 | 32 | 64 | 36 | 63 | 37 | 63 | 37 | — | — | 67 | 33 | 60 | 40 | 63 | 37 | 64 | 36 | 61 | 39 | 63 | 37 | 62 | 38 | 65 | 35 | 65 | 35 | 62 | 38 |
% of total |
1982 | 1984 | 1986 | 1988 | 1990 | 1992 | 1994 | 1996 | 1998 | 2000 | 2002 | 2004 | 2006 | 2008 | 2010 | ||||||||||||||||
Group | D | R | D | R | D | R | D | R | D | R | D | R | D | R | D | R | D | R | D | R | D | R | D | R | D | R | D | R | D | R | |
Approve of the way the | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
45 | President handles his job | 26 | 74 | — | — | 36 | 64 | — | — | 39 | 61 | — | — | 82 | 18 | — | — | 77 | 23 | 75 | 25 | 26 | 74 | 15 | 85 | 14 | 86 | 15 | 85 | 87 | 13 |
54 | Disapprove | 90 | 10 | — | — | 79 | 21 | — | — | 73 | 27 | — | — | 17 | 83 | — | — | 14 | 86 | 14 | 86 | 88 | 12 | 89 | 11 | 84 | 16 | 69 | 31 | 12 | 88 |
Presidential vote: | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
46 | For the Republican candidate | 31 | 69 | 21 | 79 | 35 | 65 | 28 | 72 | 37 | 63 | 15 | 85 | 11 | 89 | 9 | 91 | 9 | 91 | 88 | 12 | 14 | 86 | 10 | 85 | 16 | 84 | 12 | 88 | 7 | 93 |
45 | For the Democratic candidate | 89 | 11 | 93 | 7 | 83 | 17 | 84 | 16 | 81 | 19 | 89 | 11 | 84 | 16 | 85 | 15 | 82 | 18 | 12 | 88 | 88 | 12 | 86 | 9 | 93 | 7 | 92 | 8 | 86 | 14 |
- | For independent/third party candidate | 76 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 49 | 51 | 32 | 68 | 46 | 54 | 36 | 57 | 68 | 32 | 76 | 24 | * | * | 74 | 26 | * | * | * | * |
11 | Population over 500,000 | — | — | — | — | 76 | 24 | 67 | 33 | 61 | 39 | 65 | 35 | 72 | 28 | 69 | 31 | 82 | 18 | 73 | 27 | 67 | 33 | 62 | 38 | 70 | 30 | 73 | 27 | 66 | 34 |
19 | Population 50,000 to 500,000 | — | — | — | — | 55 | 45 | 59 | 41 | 57 | 43 | 62 | 38 | 58 | 42 | 49 | 51 | 52 | 48 | 59 | 41 | 56 | 44 | 50 | 50 | 58 | 42 | 60 | 40 | 53 | 47 |
50 | Suburbs | 52 | 48 | 48 | 52 | 49 | 51 | 49 | 51 | 53 | 47 | 51 | 49 | 43 | 57 | 48 | 52 | 48 | 52 | 49 | 51 | 41 | 59 | 48 | 52 | 51 | 49 | 52 | 48 | 44 | 56 |
7 | Population 10,000 to 50,000 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 46 | 54 | 31 | 69 | 51 | 49 | 44 | 56 | 48 | 52 | 45 | 55 | 36 | 64 | 51 | 49 | 50 | 50 | 51 | 49 | 49 | 51 | 43 | 57 |
13 | Rural | 59 | 41 | 45 | 55 | — | — | 56 | 44 | 52 | 48 | 51 | 49 | 43 | 57 | 48 | 52 | 38 | 62 | 39 | 61 | 43 | 57 | 43 | 57 | 49 | 51 | 51 | 49 | 36 | 64 |
37 | White men | 52 | 48 | 43 | 57 | 47 | 53 | 47 | 53 | 48 | 52 | 49 | 51 | 37 | 63 | 40 | 60 | 41 | 59 | 39 | 61 | 37 | 63 | 39 | 61 | 46 | 54 | 44 | 56 | 36 | 64 |
41 | White women | 55 | 45 | 49 | 51 | 50 | 50 | 52 | 48 | 52 | 48 | 51 | 49 | 47 | 53 | 49 | 51 | 46 | 54 | 48 | 52 | 42 | 58 | 45 | 56 | 49 | 51 | 47 | 53 | 41 | 59 |
4 | Black men | 82 | 18 | 90 | 10 | 84 | 16 | 82 | 18 | 79 | 21 | 84 | 16 | 88 | 12 | 78 | 22 | 84 | 16 | 84 | 16 | 89 | 11 | 88 | 12 | 87 | 13 | 93 | 7 | 86 | 14 |
6 | Black women | 94 | 6 | 94 | 6 | 88 | 12 | 88 | 12 | 80 | 20 | 92 | 8 | 95 | 5 | 86 | 14 | 92 | 8 | 92 | 8 | 92 | 8 | 91 | 9 | 91 | 9 | 96 | 4 | 94 | 6 |
4 | Hispanic men | * | * | 69 | 31 | * | * | 76 | 24 | 74 | 26 | 73 | 27 | 60 | 40 | 70 | 30 | 62 | 38 | 68 | 32 | 64 | 36 | 53 | 47 | 71 | 29 | 71 | 29 | 61 | 39 |
4 | Hispanic women | * | * | 70 | 30 | 76 | 24 | 77 | 23 | 70 | 30 | 71 | 29 | 61 | 39 | 76 | 24 | 63 | 37 | 74 | 26 | 67 | 33 | 60 | 40 | 69 | 31 | 69 | 31 | 69 | 31 |
6 | Men, 18-29 years old | 60 | 40 | 47 | 53 | 48 | 52 | 52 | 48 | 48 | 51 | 52 | 48 | 42 | 58 | 50 | 50 | 44 | 56 | 45 | 55 | 46 | 54 | 52 | 48 | 57 | 43 | 64 | 36 | 56 | 44 |
5 | Women, 18-29 years old | 58 | 42 | 56 | 44 | 54 | 46 | 55 | 45 | 55 | 45 | 58 | 42 | 57 | 43 | 60 | 40 | 55 | 45 | 56 | 44 | 54 | 46 | 58 | 42 | 64 | 36 | 66 | 34 | 61 | 39 |
11 | Men, 30-44 years old | 52 | 48 | 52 | 48 | 52 | 48 | 51 | 49 | 52 | 48 | 51 | 49 | 41 | 59 | 44 | 56 | 47 | 53 | 44 | 56 | 40 | 60 | 43 | 57 | 52 | 48 | 52 | 48 | 44 | 56 |
12 | Women, 30-44 years old | 57 | 43 | 56 | 44 | 52 | 48 | 57 | 43 | 54 | 46 | 54 | 46 | 51 | 49 | 55 | 45 | 53 | 47 | 53 | 47 | 50 | 50 | 52 | 48 | 55 | 45 | 57 | 43 | 52 | 48 |
16 | Men, 45-59 years old | 54 | 46 | 47 | 53 | 50 | 50 | 49 | 51 | 48 | 52 | 50 | 50 | 41 | 59 | 46 | 54 | 50 | 50 | 46 | 54 | 45 | 55 | 48 | 52 | 51 | 49 | 49 | 51 | 41 | 59 |
17 | Women, 45-59 years old | 58 | 42 | 52 | 48 | 58 | 42 | 57 | 43 | 53 | 47 | 54 | 46 | 52 | 48 | 53 | 47 | 55 | 45 | 54 | 46 | 49 | 51 | 52 | 48 | 56 | 44 | 55 | 45 | 50 | 50 |
15 | Men, 60 and older | 56 | 44 | 46 | 54 | 51 | 49 | 54 | 46 | 52 | 48 | 56 | 44 | 43 | 57 | 45 | 55 | 43 | 57 | 46 | 54 | 47 | 53 | 41 | 59 | 50 | 50 | 51 | 49 | 40 | 60 |
19 | Women, 60 and older | 60 | 40 | 51 | 49 | 53 | 47 | 56 | 44 | 54 | 46 | 57 | 43 | 53 | 47 | 52 | 48 | 48 | 52 | 56 | 44 | 50 | 50 | 51 | 49 | 53 | 47 | 53 | 47 | 44 | 56 |
% of total |
1982 | 1984 | 1986 | 1988 | 1990 | 1992 | 1994 | 1996 | 1998 | 2000 | 2002 | 2004 | 2006 | 2008 | 2010 | ||||||||||||||||
Group | D | R | D | R | D | R | D | R | D | R | D | R | D | R | D | R | D | R | D | R | D | R | D | R | D | R | D | R | D | R | |
7 | Whites, 18-29 years old | 55 | 45 | 42 | 58 | 48 | 52 | 47 | 53 | 48 | 52 | 50 | 50 | 42 | 58 | 48 | 52 | 45 | 55 | 43 | 57 | 41 | 59 | 45 | 55 | 53 | 47 | 52 | 48 | 48 | 52 |
2 | Blacks, 18-29 years old | 91 | 9 | 94 | 6 | 81 | 19 | 84 | 16 | 85 | 15 | 90 | 10 | 94 | 6 | 83 | 17 | 79 | 21 | 84 | 16 | 92 | 8 | 88 | 12 | 91 | 9 | 95 | 5 | 88 | 12 |
16 | Whites, 30-44 years old | 51 | 49 | 49 | 51 | 48 | 52 | 49 | 51 | 50 | 50 | 49 | 51 | 39 | 61 | 43 | 57 | 42 | 58 | 41 | 59 | 36 | 64 | 38 | 62 | 45 | 55 | 43 | 57 | 37 | 63 |
3 | Blacks, 30-44 years old | 88 | 12 | 93 | 7 | 84 | 16 | 86 | 14 | 82 | 16 | 88 | 12 | 91 | 9 | 84 | 16 | 89 | 11 | 91 | 9 | 87 | 13 | 92 | 8 | 89 | 11 | 96 | 4 | 91 | 9 |
26 | Whites, 45-59 years old | 53 | 47 | 45 | 55 | 50 | 50 | 49 | 51 | 49 | 51 | 48 | 52 | 42 | 58 | 45 | 55 | 46 | 54 | 45 | 55 | 40 | 60 | 44 | 56 | 48 | 52 | 44 | 56 | 38 | 62 |
4 | Blacks, 45-59 years old | 91 | 9 | 90 | 10 | 91 | 9 | 87 | 13 | 74 | 26 | 89 | 11 | 91 | 9 | 81 | 19 | 93 | 7 | 89 | 11 | 92 | 8 | 88 | 12 | 88 | 12 | 94 | 6 | 91 | 9 |
30 | Whites, 60 and older | 56 | 44 | 45 | 55 | 49 | 51 | 52 | 48 | 52 | 48 | 54 | 46 | 45 | 54 | 46 | 54 | 40 | 60 | 47 | 53 | 44 | 56 | 43 | 57 | 47 | 53 | 46 | 54 | 37 | 63 |
2 | Blacks, 60 and older | 85 | 15 | 87 | 13 | 90 | 10 | 82 | 18 | 70 | 30 | 90 | 10 | 93 | 7 | 76 | 24 | 91 | 9 | 87 | 13 | 95 | 5 | 90 | 10 | 90 | 10 | 95 | 5 | 90 | 10 |
33 | White Republicans | 12 | 88 | 13 | 87 | 20 | 80 | 21 | 79 | 25 | 75 | 15 | 85 | 8 | 92 | 9 | 91 | 9 | 91 | 8 | 92 | 6 | 94 | 6 | 94 | 7 | 93 | 8 | 92 | 4 | 96 |
0 | Black Republicans | * | * | * | * | * | * | 36 | 64 | * | * | * | * | * | * | 27 | 73 | * | * | 27 | 73 | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * |
22 | White Independents | 50 | 50 | 46 | 54 | 51 | 49 | 52 | 48 | 52 | 48 | 52 | 48 | 40 | 60 | 46 | 54 | 45 | 55 | 47 | 53 | 45 | 55 | 49 | 51 | 57 | 43 | 50 | 50 | 36 | 64 |
2 | Black Independents | 86 | 14 | 87 | 13 | 86 | 14 | 76 | 24 | 77 | 23 | 79 | 21 | 82 | 18 | 70 | 30 | 79 | 21 | 70 | 30 | 79 | 21 | 79 | 21 | 82 | 18 | 92 | 8 | 73 | 27 |
23 | White Democrats | 89 | 11 | 82 | 18 | 78 | 22 | 80 | 20 | 79 | 21 | 87 | 13 | 86 | 14 | 84 | 16 | 86 | 14 | 85 | 15 | 87 | 13 | 89 | 11 | 92 | 8 | 91 | 9 | 91 | 9 |
8 | Black Democrats | 97 | 3 | 98 | 2 | 94 | 6 | 93 | 7 | 86 | 14 | 96 | 4 | 99 | 1 | 93 | 7 | 97 | 3 | 97 | 3 | 97 | 3 | 97 | 3 | 97 | 3 | 98 | 2 | 99 | 1 |
17 | Republican men | 12 | 88 | 14 | 86 | 20 | 80 | 20 | 80 | 26 | 74 | 16 | 84 | 8 | 92 | 9 | 91 | 9 | 91 | 8 | 92 | 6 | 94 | 7 | 93 | 9 | 91 | 9 | 91 | 4 | 96 |
19 | Republican women | 12 | 88 | 15 | 85 | 21 | 79 | 23 | 77 | 26 | 74 | 15 | 85 | 8 | 92 | 12 | 88 | 9 | 91 | 9 | 91 | 6 | 94 | 6 | 94 | 6 | 94 | 9 | 91 | 4 | 96 |
15 | Independent men | 51 | 49 | 46 | 54 | 51 | 49 | 54 | 46 | 52 | 48 | 52 | 48 | 38 | 62 | 45 | 55 | 46 | 54 | 44 | 56 | 46 | 54 | 49 | 51 | 59 | 41 | 55 | 45 | 39 | 61 |
12 | Independent women | 52 | 48 | 52 | 48 | 54 | 46 | 54 | 46 | 55 | 45 | 57 | 43 | 49 | 51 | 53 | 47 | 50 | 50 | 54 | 46 | 52 | 48 | 54 | 46 | 60 | 40 | 54 | 46 | 43 | 57 |
15 | Democratic men | 89 | 11 | 83 | 17 | 82 | 18 | 84 | 16 | 80 | 20 | 89 | 11 | 86 | 14 | 85 | 15 | 88 | 12 | 88 | 12 | 89 | 11 | 90 | 10 | 93 | 7 | 93 | 7 | 93 | 7 |
22 | Democratic women | 91 | 9 | 87 | 13 | 80 | 20 | 83 | 17 | 80 | 20 | 89 | 11 | 90 | 10 | 87 | 13 | 89 | 11 | 89 | 11 | 90 | 10 | 92 | 8 | 94 | 6 | 93 | 7 | 93 | 7 |
% of total |
1982 | 1984 | 1986 | 1988 | 1990 | 1992 | 1994 | 1996 | 1998 | 2000 | 2002 | 2004 | 2006 | 2008 | 2010 | ||||||||||||||||
Group | D | R | D | R | D | R | D | R | D | R | D | R | D | R | D | R | D | R | D | R | D | R | D | R | D | R | D | R | D | R | |
1 | Liberal Republicans | 27 | 73 | 13 | 87 | 23 | 77 | 35 | 65 | 44 | 56 | 31 | 69 | 26 | 74 | 33 | 67 | 25 | 75 | 22 | 78 | 16 | 84 | 15 | 85 | 20 | 80 | 21 | 79 | 19 | 81 |
10 | Moderate Republicans | 14 | 86 | 15 | 85 | 25 | 75 | 24 | 76 | 30 | 70 | 19 | 81 | 16 | 84 | 16 | 84 | 14 | 86 | 11 | 89 | 9 | 91 | 10 | 90 | 12 | 88 | 16 | 84 | 9 | 91 |
26 | Conservative Republicans | 8 | 92 | 11 | 89 | 17 | 83 | 18 | 82 | 22 | 78 | 10 | 90 | 5 | 95 | 5 | 95 | 4 | 96 | 5 | 95 | 4 | 96 | 4 | 96 | 5 | 95 | 5 | 95 | 2 | 98 |
4 | Liberal independents | 78 | 22 | 65 | 35 | 60 | 40 | 74 | 26 | 66 | 34 | 76 | 24 | 71 | 29 | 70 | 30 | 76 | 24 | 77 | 23 | 77 | 23 | 80 | 20 | 86 | 14 | 82 | 18 | 88 | 12 |
13 | Moderate independents | 53 | 47 | 53 | 47 | 55 | 45 | 56 | 44 | 57 | 43 | 58 | 42 | 49 | 51 | 54 | 46 | 52 | 48 | 50 | 50 | 50 | 50 | 53 | 47 | 63 | 37 | 57 | 43 | 50 | 50 |
11 | Conservative independents | 33 | 67 | 32 | 68 | 44 | 56 | 39 | 61 | 43 | 57 | 30 | 70 | 19 | 81 | 25 | 75 | 20 | 80 | 20 | 80 | 24 | 76 | 23 | 77 | 29 | 71 | 31 | 69 | 13 | 87 |
15 | Liberal Democrats | 93 | 7 | 92 | 8 | 85 | 15 | 88 | 12 | 84 | 16 | 93 | 7 | 92 | 8 | 93 | 7 | 94 | 6 | 94 | 6 | 92 | 8 | 95 | 5 | 96 | 4 | 96 | 4 | 97 | 3 |
16 | Moderate Democrats | 90 | 10 | 87 | 13 | 81 | 19 | 82 | 18 | 80 | 20 | 87 | 13 | 90 | 10 | 85 | 15 | 87 | 13 | 87 | 13 | 89 | 11 | 91 | 9 | 93 | 7 | 92 | 8 | 91 | 9 |
5 | Conservative Democrats | 86 | 14 | 75 | 25 | 73 | 27 | 78 | 22 | 74 | 26 | 82 | 18 | 79 | 21 | 75 | 25 | 80 | 20 | 80 | 20 | 87 | 13 | 83 | 17 | 87 | 13 | 89 | 11 | 83 | 17 |
2 | Men without a high school diploma | — | — | 59 | 41 | 56 | 44 | 60 | 40 | 59 | 41 | 67 | 33 | 59 | 41 | 60 | 40 | 56 | 44 | 53 | 47 | 61 | 39 | 47 | 53 | 57 | 43 | 71 | 29 | 55 | 45 |
1 | Women without a high school diploma | — | — | 61 | 39 | 57 | 43 | 66 | 34 | 60 | 40 | 65 | 35 | 56 | 44 | 71 | 29 | 61 | 39 | 62 | 38 | 65 | 35 | 52 | 48 | 70 | 30 | 66 | 34 | 70 | 30 |
9 | Male high school graduates | — | — | 49 | 51 | 57 | 43 | 56 | 44 | 56 | 44 | 59 | 41 | 44 | 56 | 52 | 48 | 51 | 49 | 47 | 53 | 49 | 51 | 48 | 52 | 56 | 44 | 56 | 44 | 45 | 55 |
10 | Female high school graduates | — | — | 52 | 48 | 53 | 47 | 57 | 43 | 56 | 44 | 57 | 43 | 49 | 51 | 58 | 42 | 52 | 48 | 53 | 47 | 54 | 46 | 51 | 49 | 55 | 45 | 57 | 43 | 47 | 53 |
13 | Men with some college | — | — | 45 | 55 | 50 | 50 | 50 | 50 | 50 | 50 | 51 | 49 | 34 | 66 | 46 | 54 | 43 | 57 | 45 | 55 | 46 | 54 | 44 | 56 | 48 | 52 | 53 | 47 | 43 | 57 |
17 | Women with some college | — | — | 53 | 47 | 51 | 49 | 55 | 45 | 53 | 47 | 55 | 45 | 47 | 53 | 54 | 46 | 50 | 50 | 50 | 50 | 47 | 53 | 51 | 49 | 54 | 46 | 56 | 44 | 46 | 54 |
24 | Male college graduates | — | — | 47 | 53 | 46 | 54 | 46 | 54 | 48 | 52 | 46 | 54 | 42 | 58 | 41 | 59 | 43 | 57 | 41 | 59 | 40 | 60 | 44 | 56 | 50 | 50 | 50 | 50 | 41 | 59 |
25 | Female college graduates | — | — | 55 | 45 | 57 | 43 | 55 | 45 | 55 | 45 | 53 | 47 | 57 | 43 | 52 | 48 | 55 | 45 | 57 | 43 | 49 | 51 | 55 | 45 | 57 | 43 | 57 | 43 | 52 | 48 |
17 | Whites in the East | 63 | 37 | 50 | 50 | 48 | 52 | 49 | 51 | 53 | 47 | 53 | 47 | 46 | 54 | 52 | 48 | 52 | 48 | 54 | 46 | 50 | 50 | 53 | 47 | 59 | 41 | 55 | 45 | 46 | 54 |
2 | Blacks in the East | 90 | 10 | 93 | 7 | 87 | 13 | 90 | 10 | 76 | 24 | 83 | 17 | 91 | 9 | 82 | 18 | 90 | 10 | 86 | 14 | 83 | 17 | 91 | 9 | 89 | 11 | 95 | 5 | 92 | 8 |
21 | Whites in the Midwest | 46 | 54 | 45 | 55 | 50 | 50 | 52 | 48 | 47 | 53 | 50 | 50 | 43 | 57 | 47 | 53 | 40 | 60 | 45 | 55 | 40 | 60 | 45 | 55 | 47 | 53 | 46 | 54 | 39 | 61 |
2 | Blacks in the Midwest | 87 | 13 | 95 | 5 | 84 | 16 | 86 | 14 | 76 | 24 | 93 | 7 | 85 | 15 | 81 | 19 | 90 | 10 | 90 | 10 | 93 | 7 | 87 | 13 | 95 | 5 | 96 | 4 | 90 | 10 |
23 | Whites in the South | 55 | 45 | 45 | 55 | 50 | 50 | 48 | 52 | 50 | 50 | 47 | 53 | 36 | 64 | 36 | 64 | 35 | 65 | 34 | 66 | 32 | 68 | 31 | 69 | 36 | 64 | 35 | 65 | 27 | 73 |
5 | Blacks in the South | 93 | 7 | 92 | 8 | 93 | 7 | 82 | 18 | 80 | 20 | 88 | 12 | 94 | 6 | 85 | 15 | 89 | 11 | 90 | 10 | 93 | 7 | 91 | 9 | 88 | 12 | 94 | 6 | 92 | 8 |
17 | Whites in the West | 50 | 50 | 44 | 56 | 47 | 53 | 47 | 53 | 52 | 48 | 51 | 49 | 42 | 58 | 45 | 55 | 45 | 55 | 44 | 56 | 42 | 58 | 44 | 56 | 50 | 50 | 51 | 49 | 45 | 55 |
1 | Blacks in the West | 84 | 16 | 83 | 17 | 85 | 15 | 82 | 18 | 96 | 4 | 94 | 6 | 90 | 10 | 72 | 28 | * | * | 85 | 15 | 85 | 15 | 88 | 12 | 83 | 17 | 93 | 7 | 83 | 17 |
Data for 2010, collected by Edison Research for the National Election Pool, was based on questionnaires completed by 17,504 voters leaving 268 polling places around the nation on Election Day and 1,601 telephone interviews with absentee and early voters.
The surveys in 2004, 2006, and 2008 were conducted by Edison Media Research and Mitofsky International; from 1994 through 2002 the polls were conducted by Voter News Service; in 1990 and 1992 by Voter Research and Surveys; and in earlier years by The New York Times and CBS News.
Direct comparisons from year-to-year should factor in differences in how the questions were asked. Born-again Christian was an item on a checklist before 2004. Financial situation is based on questions about the respondent’s family’s financial situation compared with four years ago in presidential election years, and compared with two years ago in midterm years. Protestants have included ‘Other Christians’ since 1984 and ‘Mormon/LDS’ since 2004. Men and women college graduates include those with post graduate education.
Those who gave no answer are not shown. Those who voted for third-party candidates are not included.
— Indicates a question was not asked, or a category was not provided in a particular year.
* Indicates that there were an insufficient number of responses in that subgroup.